Decision Library

Is This Investment Return Too Good to Be True?

Every scam alert on this site pitches a return that sounds exciting rather than plausible. Compounding math makes the difference between "exciting" and "impossible" visible in a way a narrative red-flags list can't.

Calculate Your Own Scenario

At the Promised Rate Annualized:
At a Realistic Equity Return (12%) Long-term historical average

This shows what a claimed rate compounds to — it does not evaluate any specific investment. No legitimate, liquid investment has sustained returns anywhere near the high end of what this calculator can show.

How This Usually Plays Out

  • A claimed rate that annualizes to under ~15% — within the realistic range of long-term equity markets, though the source and structure still need real verification.
  • A claimed rate that annualizes to 50%, 100%, or more — sustained at that level, it would make the scheme's promoter richer than almost anyone on Earth within a decade. No legitimate scheme works this way.

When the Normal Advice Doesn't Apply

  • A plausible-sounding annualized rate doesn't guarantee legitimacy — verify the entity, the regulator it claims to be licensed by, and whether it appears on SEBI/RBI warning lists, regardless of what this calculator shows.

How to Actually Decide

  1. Run the claimed rate through the calculator above before evaluating anything else about the offer.
  2. If the annualized number is implausibly high, that alone is reason enough to walk away — you don't need to understand the "strategy" to reject the math.
  3. For anything that passes this check, still verify registration and never share OTPs or install remote-access apps.

This page is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Figures are illustrative and vary based on your individual circumstances, lender policies, and market conditions. Always consult a certified financial advisor before making major financial decisions.